Indexes sank to multi-year lows as the biggest drop in consumer prices in 61 years sparked deflation worries, and the Fed lowered its progress forecast
By David Bogoslaw and Will Andrews
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The ghosts of October’s dismal market returned to Wall Street on Wednesday, pushing major stock indexes to new lows, including the worst close for the Dow Jones industrial medium since March 2000.
U.S. stocks plunged as fears around economic contraction and revived concerns about the financial plan converged to despatch any lingering optimism of a short-term rally on what had been seen as oversold conditions. Wall Street eyed reports showing the biggest monthly drop in in the consumer price fore-finger (CPI) in 61 years in October. That, together with a record low in housing starts and permits in October, painted a picture of an economy in recession with deflation, according to S&P MarketScope.
But the impetus for the accelerated selling in the final hour of trading was the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy committee’s joining on Oct. 28 and 29, which revealed that the FOMC saw economic diminution when it met last month. The great bombshell from the minutes: the Fed’sitting significantly higher estimates beneficial to unemployment rates, above 6.5%, and dramatically lower growth projections out to 2011.
And the reports of job cuts kept approach, as Boeing Co. (BA) announced it was eliminating 800 jobs at a Wichita, Kans. refueling facility. The airplane manufacturer is also reworking its entire production schedule, adding as much as 10 weeks to the original delivery date for all 3,734 jetliners in its order backlog as it tries to regain the former state from a strike by its machinists, according to people familiar with the situation, the Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday.
Citigroup (C) shares tumbled nearly 23% to a 13-year low on new worries about the property on its balance sheet, that include $16.9 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS, accounting for 11% of its total fairness. Values of CMBS began to plummet last week hinder Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson announced the TARP would not buy distressed assets as had been hoped.
Bonds were higher. The dollar was higher in volatile mercantile. Gold futures were up, but off session highs. Oil futures slid after the release of the U.S. Energy Dept.’sitting weekly inventory report.
On Wednesday, a drop in all 30 stocks on the Dow Jones industrial average caused the blue-chip index to fall 427.47 points, or 5.07%, to finish at 7,997.28. The broad S&P 500 index shed 52.54 points, or 6.12%, to polishing at 806.58, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index lost 96.85 points, or 6.53%, to end at 1,386.42, below their October lows.
On the New York Stock Exchange, 30 stocks were lower in price instead of every sum of two units that advanced. The ratio on the Nasdaq was 25-3 negative. Trading was slow.
European stocks ended sharply lower Wednesday, with the FTSE 100 index in London down 4.82%, the CAC 40 index in Paris lower by 4.03%, and Germany’s DAX index slumping 4.92%. Asian equity markets finished mixed, with Tokyo stocks down 0.66%, Hong Kong lower by dint of. 0.77%, and Shanghai surging 6.05%.
In economic information Wednesday, U.S. CPI fell 1.0% in October, while the core rate, which excludes food and energy prices, slipped 0.1%. Those follow a frigid headline reading in September, and a 0.1% grow in the ex-food and energy component. On a year-over-year basis, headline CPI eased to 3.7% from 4.9% in September. The year-over-year core rate slowed to 2.2% from 2.5% previously. Declining strength prices have helped moderate price pressures significantly, says Action Economics.
U.S. housing starts dropped 4.5% to a 791,000 unit annual pace in October, from a revised 828,000 rate in September (from 817,000 before). Permits tumbled 12.0% to a 708,000 annual clip, from a revised 805,000 in September (786,000 beforehand). Weakness was widespread. Single family starts were down 3.3%, a fifth consecutive monthly decline. Multi-family starts fell 6.8%. Housing completions dropped 10.2%.
“There’s no relief in the beleaguered horse-cloth market,” says Action Economics.
The plunge in consumer prices, while certainly welcomed by U.S. households, “points to a deflationary sweep, and that’s what the market is really fearful of here,” says Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Avalon Partners in New York. “It complicates the Fed’s work to stimulate the economy” with further interest compute cuts after having cut the Fed funds rate to 1.0% just three weeks ago.
“Once deflation sets in, it’sitting very difficult to battle [economic contraction],” he says.
Cardillo predicts the Fed will trim engage rates by another quarter-point at its December policy committee meeting.
Meanwhile, there was talk of accelerated efforts by Senate Democrats to prepare a fiscal stimulus package that could be favored with existence voted forward before the Senate adjourns for the year. If a bill isn’t passed by dint of. year-end, fiscal relief for the thrift will have to wait to the time when the new Congress takes position in January.
In a speech at the at the Cato Institute’s yearly record monetary conference in Washington on Wednesday, Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn said the debilitated frugality and fragile markets were likely to persist as the disruption from the current asset bubble break open is much more biting than past time episodes. Yet he corpse unconvinced that central banks can detect and check such bubbles with set a value on hikes early enough. Instead, he favors strengthening the regulatory universe.
Also speaking judgment the Cato Institute, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker warned that the dramatic rise in Fed lending is pushing past its supervisory reach and could destabilize the pecuniary order, with additional regulatory oversight needed to limit ideal hazard and reestablish the boundaries of Fed lending and public keep up. The non-voting inflation hawk argues it’sitting of influence to eventually history upper part this public safety trap and sometimes disappoint borrowers in order to withdraw from keep clear of stifling innovation.
Wall Street gloom was exacerbated at the same time that investors watched a support day of declaration on Capital Hill by the three big U.S. automakers, who, after core snubbed by the Senate on Tuesday, pleaded by the House for at least $25 billion aid in a petulant session. Ford Motor Co. (F) and General Motors (GM) told legislators they haven’t planned contingencies in case of bankruptcy, while Chrysler said it has made more plans.
Senate Democratic leaders said they had not been able to muster the help for legislation that would provide $25 billion to the troubled auto industry from the Treasury Department’s $700 billion economic rescue supply, reports The New York Times. There is still a possibility that riches may be freed up for Detroit from a previously approved loan program to help automakers retool their plants for in addition fuel-efficient vehicles.
Bloomberg reports U.S. regulators may require banks and insurers to disclose data about all credit-default swap trades to a central record to boost transparency in the $47 trillion market, a person by knowledge of the talks said. The New York Fed and SEC want information about credit-default swaps that don’t meet flag terms to be disclosed to a warehouse that would record all trades, uttered the person, who declined to subsist identified because the discussions are secluded.
In other U.S. markets Wednesday, the 10-year Treasury bonds were up in price at 103-20/32 beneficial to a yield of 3.32%, and the 30-year notes jumped to 110-11/32 without ceasing this account that a allow of 3.91%.
The dollar index was higher at 87.28.
December West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures settled were 77 cents lower at $53.62 per barrel after the Energy Dept. reported undressed oil inventories rose 1.6 million barrels to 313.5 million barrels, gasoline stocks increased 500,000 barrels to 198.6 million barrels, and distillate inventories fell 1.5 million barrels to 126.9 million barrels.
December gold futures were $3.30 higher at $736.00 per ounce.
Among other stocks in the information on Wednesday, BJ’S Wholesale Club (BJ) posted third-quarter EPS of 48 cents, vs. 35 cents, on 12% higher comparable-club sales and 13% higher total sales. The company raised its fiscal 2009 government to $2.20-$2.30 EPS from its prior $2.10-$2.20 forecast; BJ’s sees fiscal 2010 EPS of $2.27-$2.39.