Stocks Hit Bear Market Territory
Major indexes fell below their lowest closing prices of the year Wednesday on worries over Thursday’s jobs report and rising oil prices
by dint of. Ben Steverman
Stocks dropped to their lowest levels of the year Wednesday, by major indexes slipping officially into “bear market” conditions.
Optimists had hoped stocks would never again see the lows secure in March, when the financial system panicked from one side of to the other the collapse of investment bank Bear Stearns. But on Wednesday, bad omens on the U.S. labor market and the rising price of oil helped draw heavily and slowly major indexes in time March’s overthrow closing prices.
After Wednesday’s descent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite are both other thing than 20% off their most fresh highs reached last October — the broadly cited criteria for a bear market. The tolerant S&P 500 is 19.4% below its October high.
On Wednesday, the Dow fell 166.75 points, or 1.46%, to 11,215.51. The S&P 500 dropped 23.39 points, or 1.82%, to 1,261.52. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 53.51 points, or 2.32%, to 2,251.46.
Wednesday’s trouble started when economic reports raised worries over Thursday’s intersecting June payroll data.
The U.S. ADP report showed a 79,000 drop in particular sector jobs last month, after a 25,000 increase in May. It’s the largest decline since 2002. Also, Challenger reported announced layoffs fell 21,800 in June from May, but are still up 46.7% from the year in the sight of.
Traders were reading the data for clues to Thursday’s jobs report, a look at the unemployment rate and other crucial measures of the labor place of traffic. RDQ Economics says the reports are consistent with data “which betoken a perversion in the job market.” RDQ expects a 100,000 drop in nonfarm payrolls, “but the risks are tilted toward a larger decrease.”
Even with those worries, stocks started Wednesday in positive territory. Moods darkened, however, when oil prices spiked higher. On the NYMEX, crude oil for August delivery set a new closing record of $143.57, up $2.60 from the previous day’s closing price. After regular trading, oil continued to clamber. higher, mercantile beyond $144 far advanced in the afternoon.
Despite the decline in stock indexes Wednesday, Ryan Detrick, senior technical expert manaeuvrer at Schaeffer’s Investment Research, saw few signs of panic among investors. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, a apportion of reverence in the market, rose 9.6% Wednesday, while Detrick would anticipate a spike of 20% or 30% on days of panicked selling.
One reason in the place of the complacency is that, while stocks gain dipped on the earth their lowest closing prices of the year, they’re alembic too magnanimous for their all-time lows of the year. For the S&P 500, that is the March 17 intraday vile of 1,256.98. If that level is breached, traders who expected the March lows to hold could desert ship. You could see “some well and good anxious” in the market, Detrick says.
Thursday morning’s release of jobs data could be a key test. Economists are expecting a 58,000 drop in nonfarm payrolls in June. Data on frequently earnings, average workweek and the unemployment set a value on direction also be released.
“Whether the stock emporium cascades further or bounces in the days ahead could largely depend on the reaction to the June labor report tomorrow,” says Standard & Poor’s technical analyst Chris Burba.
In other household news, U.S. factory order rose 0.6% in May, in line with expectations. The U.S. MBA mortgage market index rebounded 3.6% in the week ended June 27.
Among stocks in the news, Starbucks (SBUX) announced it will close 600 underperforming company-ooperated stores in the U.S. The coffee chain expects to open fewer than 200 new U.S. stores in fiscal 2009. Store closures could result in a $200 million write-off in Starbucks’ third-quarter financial results.
Microsoft (MSFT) is tranquil trying to take over Yahoo’s (YHOO) search business. The Wall Street Journal reports that Microsoft has approached media firms including Time Warner (TWX) and News Corp. (NWS) about a joint deal that would lead to Yahoo’s break-up.
